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Winner distribution with Africa as an example

Why do the Green Card statistics then show that the distribution of winners among countries is not equal? Some countries, especially in Africa, have a much higher number of winners than the maximum of 3,500.

This is simply because Green Card Lottery winners are randomly selected. Within Africa, most of the applicants come from Ethiopia, Ghana, Egypt, Cameroon and the Congo. If, for example, 10% of the participants in Africa are from Ethiopia, then 10% of the winners within Africa will be statistically from Ethiopia.

It is therefore possible that Ethiopia suddenly has five times as many Green Card winners as Germany, for example. The likelihood, however, that every winner in Ethiopia will continue with the Green Card application or fulfill the requirements is extremely low.

The reason behind this is as follows:

  • Not every winner continues with the Green Card application process.
  • This may be the case for winners who do not wish to carry on with the Green Card application process or may not meet the requirements necessary to get a Green Card. This is the case in many African countries.
  • Often winners do not have the necessary education or work experience to fulfill the requirements.
  • Moreover, it is difficult for many African winners to prove that they have sufficient financial resources to make a fresh start in the USA.
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